| Net Impact of AI on Human Welfare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Examples | Extraordinarily Positive | Substantially Good | Ambiguous | Substantially Bad | Catastrophic or Existential | ||
|
10 Epochal |
Holocene (humans become dominant species) | 0% | |||||
|
9 Millenary |
Industrial Revolution; agriculture; fire; the wheel; the printing press | 0% | |||||
|
8 Centennial |
Electricity; vaccines; the internet; the automobile | 0% | |||||
|
7 Decennial |
Social media; mobile phones; air conditioning; credit cards |
⬆ AI passed this threshold circa 2026 ⬆
|
0% | ||||
|
6 Annual |
VCR; microwave oven; the zipper; Post-it notes |
⬆ AI passed this threshold by 2024 ⬆
|
0% | ||||
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ||