| Net Impact of AI on Human Welfare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historical Examples | Extraordinarily Positive | Substantially Good | Ambiguous | Substantially Bad | Catastrophic or Existential | ||
| 10 Epochal |
Holocene (humans become dominant species) | ||||||
| 9 Millenary |
Industrial Revolution; agriculture; fire; the wheel; the printing press; the atomic bomb | ||||||
| 8 Centennial |
Electricity; vaccines; the internet; the automobile | ||||||
| 7 Decennial |
Social media; mobile phones; air conditioning; credit cards | ||||||
| 6 Annual |
VCR; microwave oven; the zipper; Post-it notes | ↑↑ AI has already passed this threshold ↑↑ | |||||